Ten days ago, I looked at a new Hartford Courant/UConn national poll and found a God Gap not merely shrunken from four years ago, but at a historic low relative to the better known Gender Gap. Indeed, it seemed that for the first time since 1960, the God Gap was actually smaller than the Gender Gap.
Comes now a new Pew poll that gives the lie to all that. Indeed, by Pew's polling this month, the God Gap is as robust as ever--and outstripping the Gender Gap by a good bit.
Specifically, Pew finds that those who say they attend worship once a week or more prefer Gov. Romney by 19 points over President Obama, 57-38. That's more than double the 51-43 margin of the Courant/UConn poll, and a good deal more robust than the 12 point margin by which these frequent worshippers preferred John McCain to Obama in 2008.
Meanwhile, according to Pew, women prefer Obama to Romney by 50-44, just one-third of Courant/UConn's 17-point margin. So what we're seeing from Pew is something more like the gaps that applied in 2000 and 2004.
What gives? I have no idea. Pew's poll taken after the first presidential debate, shows a bigger God Gap (29 points) than there's ever been, and a non-existent Gender Gap. All we can say for sure at this point is, wait till next week.
Update: Just to add another couple of data points, Elon University's new North Carolina poll puts the God Gap of weekly attenders at 12 points (52-40 for Romney), but among those Tarheels who say they attend "almost every week," the margin is 24 points (58-34). Go figure.